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Firms combine polling and census-type data to predict outcomes in each constituency but with sometimes differing results
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The âsenior Toryâ has issued a self-flagellating apology, but he still has the whip â and Sunakâs low bar sinks lower, says Guardian columnist Marina Hyde
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William Wragg says he was pressed for colleaguesâ details after sharing compromising photos of himself
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NEU members at conference vote in favour of motion criticised by Gillian Keegan as inappropriate
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Nicholas Soames says end to weapons exports would send strong message on the crisis in Gaza
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Editorial: The shock resignation of the main unionist partyâs leader has left Northern Ireland politics more uncertain than ever
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At least a dozen people sent suspicious messages, with senior figures suggesting foreign state could be culprit
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Exclusive: Grandson of Winston Churchill says UK must send message to Israel after aid workers killed in Gaza
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Plunging trust in politicians means that Tory MPs about to leave parliament may find the cushy jobs of old hard to come by, says Guardian columnist Zoe Williams
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Exclusive: senior party officials worked on commercial venture that would allow brands to sell products to supporters
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Alex Youngerâs claim that insufficient care is being paid to collateral risks comes as UK is urged to suspend arms sales to Israel
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Two historians argued in the 1990s that nine conditions defined the likelihood of Tory defeat. Almost all of them hold today, says Guardian columnist Martin Kettle
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Thousands of jobs are due to be cut this year at Tata Steel in Port Talbot, putting the future of British steel under serious threat. Kiran Stacey hears from workers at the plant, local residents and shadow Wales secretary Jo Stevens
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Attempts at mischief-making fall flat as the PM adopts his man of the people act to be questioned by Harry Cole
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Jonathan Kay and Mick Greenhough made derogatory remarks about Muslims and black people on social media
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The prime minister has a stock response when questioned about the date of the general election
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The Guardian view on free childcare: a subsidy for demand with little thought for supply | Editorial
Editorial: The government’s extension of free nursery hours reflects a late recognition of problems the Tories’ are ill-equipped to address
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A minister, political advisers and journalists were among those who received potentially compromising messages over six-month period